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13. Pay Attention to Implied Volatility
How often have you found yourself glued to a monitor watching price quotes
on markets you're in?
Probably more frequently than you like. After all, watching the erratic moves
of the futures markets minute by minute only elevates one's blood pressure. It
also causes your mind to make guesses about what's going to happen next.
In addition, it's tempting to read news items to help "complete the picture."
The bottom line is that the quotes and the news become powerful magnets that pull
you closer and closer to the action. Before you know it, you're pulling up 5-minute
bar charts and then tick charts to try and get a handle on the market.
Of course, futures traders have little choice. Every up-and-down move impacts
their profitability, so unless they've placed protective stop orders, they must
watch the markets. Options traders, on the other hand, can get away from this
mesmerizing activity. How?
By trading spreads that are less sensitive to market movement and more responsive
to changes in implied volatility. While trading delta neutral volatility spreads
doesn't guarantee profits, nothing does. But it forces a trader to focus on forecasting
implied volatility which, by most accounts, is easier than forecasting market
direction.
"Knowledge is power and all traders can benefit
by continually bolstering their knowledge base. I hope to contribute in that regard."
Paul Forchione
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